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Who WON'T win the chase

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HTower

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 2:01 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

If anyone is counting, Tony finished once in the top 10, twice in the 11-19 range, and 5 times in 20th place or worse. That is HORRIBLE.
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Smoke14Wins

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 2:43 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

Unless Tony can duplicate last year, he's not going to win either & that thought kills me.
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Annalee

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 3:04 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

jamo14 wrote:Out of all the drivers out there, I truly believe only 12 of them have a shot to win the cup after 1 Chase race (and I can prove it).


Jamo, I think you are on to something!! :lol: :lol: :) Another theory.....tell me who you want out and I pick them........ex...last week Jeff and Clint .... ;) Tony is always exempt from this theory!


Smoke14Wins wrote:Unless Tony can duplicate last year, he's not going to win either & that thought kills me.


And your reason for this is?? :roll: Please keep the faith.... Last year no one gave him a snowball's chance in ----, and we all know how that turned out :) :) This is a totally different set of drivers and already a different scenario!! Remember it's Tony and I have learned to never, ever count him out. :mrgreen:
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Rochelle

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 3:22 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

Too early to tell. Some are peaking now and some aren't. Luck has a lot to do with it. And you never know when some bonehead that isn't in the chase is going to wreck you. The one thing I would say is that if you came in without a win, you're pretty much out of it unless all the other chasers have a bad run of luck and the odds of that are slim to none.

On any given day, anyone can win, and vice versa. There are just too many variables, rain, wreck, fuel mileage, engine failure, parts failure, pit stop miscues, the list goes on and on...
"The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe" - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Smoke14Wins

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 4:05 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

Homestead not included because raced on once a yr.
These are the place finished from earlier this year (chase tracks)
This is not in track order, just place finished order

Keselowski
1st....1st....5th....5th....5th....9th....11th....12th....36th

Johnson
1st....2nd....2nd....3rd....4th....7th....11th....12th....35th

Stewart
6th....7th....12th....13th....22nd....24th....24th....25th....25th

Hamlin
1st....1st....2nd....2nd....6th....12th....16th....18th....23rd

Kahne
1st....1st....3rd....4th....7th....8th....9th....34th....38th

Bowyer
3rd....5th....6th....10th....10th....13th....17th....30th....36th

Dale Jr
3rd....4th....4th....6th....7th....8th....9th....10th....14th

Biffle
1st....3rd....4th....5th....5th....9th....11th....13th....13th

Truex Jr
2nd....5th....6th....7th....7th....9th....11th....12th....28th

Harvick
2nd....2nd....6th....8th....8th....9th....12th....19th....25th

Kenseth
3rd....3rd....4th....4th....5th....10th....13th....13th....18th

Gordon
4th....6th....7th....8th....13th....14th....21st....33rd....35th

I'm going to say right now it's Johnson, Hamlin, Keselowski in the running
Last edited by Smoke14Wins on Wed Sep 19, 2012 4:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Smoke14Wins

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 4:09 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

And your reason for this is?? :roll: Please keep the faith.... Last year no one gave him a snowball's chance in ----, and we all know how that turned out :) :) This is a totally different set of drivers and already a different scenario!! Remember it's Tony and I have learned to never, ever count him out. :mrgreen:[/quote]

Tony loves to prove people wrong......this is his chance
Smoke
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Smoke14Wins

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 4:11 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

Rochelle wrote:Too early to tell. Some are peaking now and some aren't. Luck has a lot to do with it. And you never know when some bonehead that isn't in the chase is going to wreck you. The one thing I would say is that if you came in without a win, you're pretty much out of it unless all the other chasers have a bad run of luck and the odds of that are slim to none.

On any given day, anyone can win, and vice versa. There are just too many variables, rain, wreck, fuel mileage, engine failure, parts failure, pit stop miscues, the list goes on and on...


it's nothing but a gamble every time they race. You get luck or get crap or just there
Smoke
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Schmoopy1000

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 6:35 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

Well I think any of them could still win it (mathematically) I have to agree I dont think Gordon will win it now. yes he is only 47 points out, & he has gained that on others in the past. Even to make the wild card. However this is the top 11 cars he has to pass. he doesnt have to gain these points on just a couple teams in the chase. he has to gain it on all of them. I dont believe everyone of them will have issues. so I dont think he gain those points on all 11 teams. (but there is always dega) If he was 3rd, 47 back I would say he still has a chance, but 12th 47 back. Dont think so. Although it would be a good story if he did it.
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wolfgang

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Post Wed Sep 19, 2012 9:31 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

Smoke14Wins wrote:If Jr wins the championship, the world will declare it a national holiday.
I can't see a new spot being added to the calendar any time soon.

I'm still waiting for Dale Snrs.holiday,lets not jump the gun. :lol:
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midwesternsmoke

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Post Thu Sep 20, 2012 6:53 am

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

In keeping with the original title...Who WON'T win the Chase??.....Casey Mears. :P
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austin024

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Post Thu Sep 20, 2012 7:53 am

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

midwesternsmoke wrote:In keeping with the original title...Who WON'T win the Chase??.....Casey Mears. :P


and jamie mac. lol



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tlmerk

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Post Thu Sep 20, 2012 11:26 am

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

If Tony can't win, I hope Kaz does. He is a novice compared to the rest of the field but he has been counted out before and look where he is. Just because it hasn't been done before doesn't mean he won't do it. I think he may be in the top 3 at least.

But I enjoyed reading your post and everyone's comments after it. I realize you made the disclaimer that your picks are for entertainment purposes only so that's how I am taking them and all of our "picks." No one knows for sure who won't be there in the end, but we can all make our own predictions.

Who would have predicted Kyle B. and Ryan N. wouldn't be in the running this year? Not me.
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Smokeshow14

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Post Thu Sep 20, 2012 2:41 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

austin024 wrote:
midwesternsmoke wrote:In keeping with the original title...Who WON'T win the Chase??.....Casey Mears. :P


and jamie mac. lol

Right now Jeff Gordon and him have the same chance to win the championship: none whatsoever :mrgreen: .

I know your a Gordon fanboy and whatever. And you will annoy us to death with that. But he has no chance to win the championship unless all 11 guys in front of him have trouble. And that is not going to happen! He is pretty much a race out of the lead and nearly half a race behind the 11th place car. He is going to be blessed to finish 10th at this point.
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Trucks: 9, 88, 3, 7, 17, 31
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Smoke14Wins

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Post Thu Sep 20, 2012 3:09 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

I don't think now's the time for something like this. I would think it's a bigger gamble in a way.
A tweet I found: "Chassis No. 14-742 For the second straight week Stewart-Haas Racing debuts a brand new race car for Tony Stewart and the No. 14 team"
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Rochelle

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Post Thu Sep 20, 2012 3:22 pm

Re: Who WON'T win the chase

The chassis selections are on Jayski. Tony has a new one again this week but at least this one's been on the track for a test at Milwaukee. Ryan has the same chassis he won in at Loudon in July.
"The individual has always had to struggle to keep from being overwhelmed by the tribe" - Friedrich Nietzsche
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