So in my attempt to convince myself of some kind of chance for the 39 team, I turn to the 5 team.
If Kasey gets a 5th place finish (& say leads a lap) which isnt out of the realm of posssiblities at atlanta. he is good there, & Harvick drops out early. Harvick is 37 pts ahead of Kahne. That would bring them to richmond basically just needing to beat the 29 team & Kahne would be in the top ten & Harvick out of the top ten with zero wins. Then it is just a matter of which two drivers of the three to out point the other between Kyle, Gordon, & Ryan.
BTW I think Kyle is in now. Dont think Ryan or Gordon will catch him in points. So unless one of these guys get a victory or Carl gets one Kyle is in.
Without DNFs I think who we see now in the chase is who will be in the chase when it starts.
Right now I am hoping for an early exit by Harvick & Kahne to be on a tear. I think that is Ryans best chance.